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Graphic Content – December; UK wage growth is about to surge

5th December 2017

As in many countries, wage growth in the UK has been missing in action, even as the unemployment rate has fallen to a 42-year low. Any sign of sustained wage growth therefore has the potential to cause a violent market reaction. We can... Continue reading

Graphic Content – November; corporate bond risk premia are now the lowest ever

28th November 2017

Risk premia on a corporate bond can be broken down into two component parts. The first is the term premium, which relates to... Continue reading

Bernanke’s latest monetary policy framework isn’t novel – it’s 90 years old

25th October 2017

Recently Ben Bernanke proposed a new framework for inflation targeting and monetary policy setting when interest rates are at the zero-lower bound (ZLB),... Continue reading

The Bank of England prepares for a historic hike – is it jumping the gun?

24th October 2017

November 2, 2017 may go down as a historic day: it could be the first time in 3,773 days that the Bank of... Continue reading

Graphic Content – October: Explaining strong Eurozone growth?

19th October 2017

Last month I mentioned how a cyclical recovery in China over the past few months was driving commodities higher, and could do the... Continue reading

Graphic Content – September; Watch commodity prices

11th September 2017

Industrial metal prices have been on something of a tear since July, and unlike in the weeks and months post Trump’s election, the... Continue reading

This week could see a momentous signal from the ECB

4th September 2017

The European Central Bank’s (ECB) meeting on September 7th will be the next chance for the Governing Council (GC) to communicate its intentions... Continue reading